| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 66.59% | 19.06% | 14.35% |
| Both teams to score 53.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.93% | 40.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.56% | 62.43% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.83% | 11.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.73% | 40.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% | 76.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-0 @ 10.8% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 7.18% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.07% Total : 66.58% | 1-1 @ 8.97% 0-0 @ 4.49% 2-2 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.06% | 0-1 @ 4.09% 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.35% |