| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 42.15% | 24.94% | 32.91% |
| Both teams to score 57.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% | 46.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% | 68.37% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% | 21.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% | 55.08% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% | 62.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.91% |