| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 33.54% | 26.37% | 40.08% |
| Both teams to score 52.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% | 52.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% | 73.81% |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% | 29.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% | 65.34% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% | 25.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% | 60.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.08% |