| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 32.04% | 26.28% | 41.68% |
| Both teams to score 52.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% | 52.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% | 73.81% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% | 30.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% | 66.55% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% | 59.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.67% |