Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.