Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.