Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.