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May 22, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Nissan Stadium
Nashville
2 - 2
Atlanta
Sapong (25'), Williams (32')
Godoy (59'), Sapong (72'), Muyl (82'), Zubak (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Almada (27'), Dwyer (88')
Ibarra (34')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

Last Six:
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Atlanta vs. Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Atlanta United

 Nashville have been solid on home turf, picking up three wins and one draw from their last four outings in all competitions. In contrast, Atlanta United head into the weekend on a run of four consecutive defeats on the road and five in their last six outings. With that said, we are backing Nashville to make use of their home advantage and come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
43.37% (1.561 1.56) 25.27% (-0.214 -0.21) 31.37% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (0.477 0.48)48.04% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.436 0.44)70.21% (-0.437 -0.44)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.952 0.95)22.12% (-0.952 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (1.417 1.42)55.49% (-1.417 -1.42)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (-0.64 -0.64)28.78% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.803 -0.8)64.63% (0.804 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.37%
    Atlanta United 31.37%
    Draw 25.27%
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.211 0.21)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Nashville vs Atlanta

Nashville SC
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Atlanta United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
Anibaba (14'), Williams (49' pen.)
Leal (28'), Haakenson (82'), McCarty (89')
Walkes (5'), Conway (59')
Wolff (39'), Sosa (44'), Torres (47'), Moreno (67')
Mulraney (74')
May 29, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
2-2
Nashville
Moreno (6'), Lopez (52')
Moreno (41')
Williams (80', 83')
McCarty (57'), Lovitz (60'), Haakenson (90+2')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30am
Nashville
4-2
Atlanta
Badji (1'), Williams (28'), McCarty (36'), Danladi (57')
Larentowicz (19'), Bello (61')
Remedi (63')
Aug 23, 2020 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Nashville
Martinez (40', 87')

Did you know...?
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia177822213929
2CF MontrealMontreal179263229329
3New York City FCNY City1684431171428
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls177552619726
5Orlando City177462023-325
6New England RevolutionNew England176652726124
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati177372730-324
8Columbus Crew165652018221
9Inter MiamiInter Miami166371725-821
10Charlotte FCCharlotte FC176291721-420
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta155462322119
12Toronto175392432-818
13Chicago Fire174581522-717
14DC United154291827-914

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia177822213929
2CF MontrealMontreal179263229329
3New York City FCNY City1684431171428
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls177552619726
5Orlando City177462023-325
6New England RevolutionNew England176652726124
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati177372730-324
8Columbus Crew165652018221
9Inter MiamiInter Miami166371725-821
10Charlotte FCCharlotte FC176291721-420
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta155462322119
12Toronto175392432-818
13Chicago Fire174581522-717
14DC United154291827-914
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