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Nashville
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 3
May 1, 2022 at 9pm UK
Nissan Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Nashville
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.65%25.1%31.25%
Both teams to score 55.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65%47.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43%69.57%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.65%
    Philadelphia Union 31.25%
    Draw 25.1%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Nashville vs Philadelphia

Nashville SC
33.3%
Draw
29.2%
Philadelphia Union
37.5%
24
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Nashville
Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties
Gazdag (45+2')
Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Nashville
Przybylko (18' pen.)
Przybylko (27'), Glesnes (55'), Monteiro (62')

Loba (23'), Godoy (53'), Nealis (90+2')