| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 52.83% | 25.22% | 21.95% |
| Both teams to score 47.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% | 54.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% | 75.66% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% | 53.06% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% | 39.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% | 76.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.95% |