| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Salt Lake.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 41.22% | 27.59% | 31.18% |
| Both teams to score 48.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% | 57.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% | 78.23% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% | 27.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% | 62.86% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% | 33.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.66% | 70.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.18% |