Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.