| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 54.81% ( | 22.59% ( | 22.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( | 42.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( | 65.16% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( | 15.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( | 44.42% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( | 69.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.81% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.59% |