Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.