| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 61.85% ( | 21.36% ( | 16.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( | 45.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( | 14.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.06% ( | 41.93% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% ( | 40.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( | 77.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 61.84% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.79% |