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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 23, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Kansas

Yueill (46')
Marie (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russell (45')
Espinoza (58'), Rosell (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
61.85% (-0.217 -0.22)21.36% (0.099999999999998 0.1)16.79% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.24 -0.24)45.63% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.229 -0.23)67.96% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)14.21% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.06% (-0.282 -0.28)41.93% (0.278 0.28)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.49% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.09%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 61.84%
    Sporting Kansas City 16.79%
    Draw 21.35%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.48% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 61.84%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.59% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.79%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2021 1.30am
Kansas
1-1
Earthquakes
Salloi (90+4')
Lindsey (57'), Zusi (85')
Cardoso (53')
Lopez (40'), Judson (49'), Espinoza (81'), Cardoso (86')
Judson (90+5')
May 23, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-3
Kansas
Lopez (4')
Espinoza (9'), Rios (49')
Lindsey (15'), Pulido (60'), Salloi (75')
Lindsey (90')
Nov 22, 2020 9pm
Kansas
3-3
Earthquakes
Kansas win 3-0 on penalties
Espinoza (4'), Sanchez (47'), Busio (90+1')
Reid (39'), Dia (78'), Espinoza (79'), Russell (86')
Fierro (22'), Salinas (34'), Wondolowski (90+7')
Lima (28'), Lopez (56'), Espinoza (85')
Aug 16, 2020 1.30am
Mar 22, 2020 2am