| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 53.62% | 23.92% | 22.46% |
| Both teams to score 52.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% | 48.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% | 70.76% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% | 18.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% | 48.98% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% | 36.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.55% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.46% |