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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
FC Dallas

Orlando City
1 - 3
Dallas

Kara (45+4')
Mendez (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arriola (67', 84'), Jara (70')
Ferreira (42'), Velasco (64'), Quignon (80'), Obrian (86'), Obrian (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: New England vs. Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Dallas vs. Vancouver
Sunday, June 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawDallas
51.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.41% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)47.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.023 0.02)69.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.35% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)33.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.26% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 51.52%
    Dallas 24.41%
    Draw 24.05%
Orlando CityDrawDallas
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.52%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 24.41%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Dallas

Orlando City
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Dallas
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2020 1.30am
Dallas
0-0
Orlando City

Ricaurte (45+3'), Jara (57'), Thiago (87')

Mendez (64'), Nani (90+7')
Mendez (69')
Aug 19, 2020 1.30am
Aug 4, 2019 12.30am
Orlando City
2-0
Dallas
Akindele (13'), Ascues (92')
Mendez (69')

Ziegler (20'), Pomykal (39'), Servania (45'), Ferreira (81')
Oct 7, 2018 1am
Dallas
2-0
Orlando City
Mosquera (63'), Ulloa (69')
Cannon (27'), Gruezo (28')

Dwyer (7'), Yotun (35')
Sep 30, 2017 9pm