Major League Soccer

May 7, 2022 at 9pm UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
4 - 1
Orlando City

Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Orlando City
48.66%	25.5%	25.83%

Both teams to score 51.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93%

52.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2%

73.79%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59%

21.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59%

54.41%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99%

35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25%

71.75%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 48.66%

Orlando City 25.83%

Draw 25.5%

CF Montreal	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.66%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.08% Total : 25.83%