Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.