| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 59.2% | 23.25% | 17.55% |
| Both teams to score 46.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% | 52.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% | 73.85% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% | 17.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% | 47.66% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.59% | 43.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.36% | 79.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.19% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.55% |