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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Philadelphia Union

Toronto
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Philadelphia Union

 TFC are young and fast with plenty of potential, but all of those qualities can also be said about the Union, who are sounder defensively and do not make the mental errors that we are seeing from time to time in Toronto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.16%25.86%34.98%
Both teams to score 54.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.69%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.57%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7%27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26%62.74%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39.16%
    Philadelphia Union 34.98%
    Draw 25.85%
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Toronto vs Philadelphia

Toronto
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Philadelphia Union
70.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Akinola (58'), Pozuelo (76')
Santos (5')
Andres Martinez (83')
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Toronto
P-P
Philadelphia
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
> Full Version


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