| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Toronto |
| 51.59% | 24.13% | 24.28% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% | 47.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% | 69.91% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% | 18.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% | 33.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% | 70.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.28% |