Major League Soccer

May 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto

Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Toronto
40.64%	24.92%	34.44%

Both teams to score 57.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41%

45.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09%

67.91%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63%

22.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14%

55.85%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 40.64%

Toronto 34.44%

Draw 24.92%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.64%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.44%