Major League Soccer

Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	FC Cincinnati
54.32%	23.81%	21.87%

Both teams to score 51.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.15%

48.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05%

70.94%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12%

17.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34%

48.66%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19%

36.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.4%

73.59%

Score Analysis

Toronto 54.31%

FC Cincinnati 21.87%

Draw 23.81%

Toronto	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.31%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.87%