Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.