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Major League Soccer
Apr 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Toronto FC

NY City
5 - 4
Toronto

Castellanos (38'), Andrade (49'), Rodriguez (54'), Parks (58'), Pereira (75')
Acevedo (40'), Morales (83')
Morales (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jimenez (13', 27'), Kerr (87'), Bradley (90+1')
Jimenez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-2 Toronto

Both of these sides seem to have found their footing at long last, and although New York might have the edge in experience and offensive depth, TFC have proven to be a much more resilient bunch than we saw in 2021. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawToronto
74.05%15.37%10.59%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06%31.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.5%53.5%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65%7.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.47%26.53%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 74.05%
    Toronto 10.59%
    Draw 15.37%
New York City FCDrawToronto
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.82%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 3.58%
5-0 @ 3.03%
5-1 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 2.34%
6-0 @ 1.32%
5-2 @ 1.22%
6-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.11%
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 3.15%
0-1 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-2 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: NY City vs Toronto

New York City FC
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Toronto
2-1
NY City
Jimenez (31'), Martins (43' og.)
Heber (90+2')
Martins (59'), Callens (59')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Toronto
2-2
NY City
Laryea (49'), Pozuelo (55')
Soteldo (25'), Laryea (36'), Priso-Mbongue (63')
Rodriguez (12'), Tajouri (21')
Morales (90+2')
May 15, 2021 6pm
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Toronto
0-1
NY City

Morrow (3')
Medina (51')
Callens (45+1'), Castellanos (75'), Medina (90+2')
Sep 24, 2020 12am
NY City
0-1
Toronto

Callens (23'), Castellanos (36'), Sands (72'), Acevedo (89')
Pozuelo (90' pen.)
Piatti (25'), DeLeon (40'), Altidore (56'), Nelson (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Gasquet
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Koepfer
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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