Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Heber 23' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 46' yellowcard
  • Thiago Martins 89' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boris Sekulic 63'

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 19, 2022 12.30am
DC United 0 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 19, 2022 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 3 - 3 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jhon Duran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result

New York City FC 76.32% (-0.07)
Draw 14.65% (+0.04)
Chicago Fire 9.02% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.99% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.41% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 33.58% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 44.6% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 55.39% (+0.19)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 92.73% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 7.26% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 73.68% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 26.31% (+0.13)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 54.98% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 45.01% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 19.05% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 80.94% (+0.07)

Score analysis

New York City FC 76.32%
Draw 14.65%
Chicago Fire 9.02%
New York City FC
2-0 @ 11.24% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 3.38% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.85% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 14.65%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.61% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 9.02%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Valentin Castellanos 51' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 32'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Sep 30, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Federico Navarro 16' yellowcard
  • Robert Beric 48' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 59' yellowcard
  • Federico Navarro 66' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 10'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 27'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2021 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Johan Kappelhof 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 42'
  • redcard Keaton Parks 73'
  • yellowcard Ismael Tajouri 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 24
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
3
4
HT : 3 3
FT Soldier Field
  • Robert Beric 33' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 42' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 43' goal
  • goal Alexander Callens 15'
  • goal Gary Mackay-Steven 32'
  • goal Jesus Medina 37'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 77'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Keaton Parks 16' goal
  • James Sands 37' yellowcard
  • Anton Tinnerholm 53' goal
  • Alexander Ring 75' goal
  • Alexander Callens 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Frankowski 42'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Francisco Calvo 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2020 1.00am
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17