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New York City
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sekulic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

Even without last season's Golden Boot winner, we expect to see a relatively comfortable victory for the Pigeons on Sunday as they possess as much depth as any team in MLS, while the Fire have had some miserable defensive displays in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
76.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06) 14.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 9.02% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.17 -0.17)33.58% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.193 -0.19)55.39% (0.184 0.18)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)7.26% (0.046 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.68% (-0.133 -0.13)26.31% (0.123 0.12)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)80.94% (0.068999999999988 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 76.32%
    Chicago Fire 9.02%
    Draw 14.65%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 6.85% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 9.02%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Chicago Fire
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Chicago Fire
Parks (16'), Tinnerholm (53'), Ring (75')
Sands (37'), Callens (83')
Pineda (45+2')
Frankowski (42'), Calvo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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