Major League Soccer

May 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
3 - 3
Chicago Fire

Morgan (20' pen.), Harper (58'), Klimala (90+1')
Harper (26'), Edwards (63'), Nealis (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mueller (38'), Omsberg (49'), Shaqiri (89')
Teran (1'), Espinoza (19'), Navarro (70'), Omsberg (85')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Charlotte FC vs. NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
58.18% ( 0.19)	24.3% ( -0.05)	17.52% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 43.87% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

-0)

56.03% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.88% (

-0)

77.12% (

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.07)

19.13% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

0.12)

50.76% (

-0.12)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.25% (

-0.17)

45.75% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.47% (

-0.14)

81.53% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 58.17%

Chicago Fire 17.52%

Draw 24.29%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 14.47% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.17%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.52%