Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chicago Fire.