Major League Soccer

May 7, 2022 at 11pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
4 - 1
Chicago Fire

Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Chicago Fire
67.16%	19.04%	13.8%

Both teams to score 51.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72%

41.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33%

63.67%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.64%

11.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.94%

36.06%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.17%

41.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.72%

78.28%

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 67.15%

Chicago Fire 13.8%

Draw 19.04%

Atlanta United	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.23% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-0 @ 4.43% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.1% 5-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.85% Total : 67.15%	1-1 @ 9.01% 0-0 @ 4.75% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 1.02% Total : 19.04%	0-1 @ 4.14% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.8%