We said: Minnesota United 1-0 Chicago Fire
Dayne St. Clair has earned the chance to have an easy match in goal as he has almost single-handedly kept Minnesota afloat this season, and we do not anticipate that he will have much to do against a passive Chicago side, who have rarely created much in possession.
Expect this to be a tight affair with a Fire squad who are tough to break down, while Minnesota have shown flashes of individual brilliance this year, which should be enough to earn them three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.