| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 15 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 60.6% ( | 21.63% ( | 17.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( | 45.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( | 67.5% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( | 14.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.61% ( | 42.39% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( | 39.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% ( | 75.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.77% |