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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Minnesota United

New England
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Borrero (53'), Bou (69')
McNamara (12'), Farrell (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reynoso (37' pen.)
Trapp (58'), Lod (68'), Amarilla (80'), Dibassy (80'), Lawrence (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawMinnesota United
60.6% (-0.664 -0.66)21.63% (0.296 0.3)17.77% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 52.17% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)45.15% (0.667 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.64 -0.64)67.5% (0.642 0.64)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.422 -0.42)14.44% (0.425 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61% (-0.826 -0.83)42.39% (0.828 0.83)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (0.047000000000004 0.05)39.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25% (0.042000000000002 0.04)75.75% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 60.6%
    Minnesota United 17.77%
    Draw 21.63%
New England RevolutionDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 60.6%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.63%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 17.77%

How you voted: New England vs Minnesota Utd

New England Revolution
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Minnesota United
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 6pm
New England
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Anibaba (10'), Bye (62')
Gil (45'), Anibaba (72'), Castillo (74')
Quintero (26' pen.)
Opara (12'), Metanire (54'), Alonso (70')
Jul 19, 2018 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-1
New England
Ramirez (5'), Quintero (45')
Calvo (30'), Warner (45'), Quintero (55'), Ibarra (62'), Boxall (90')
Fagundez (52' pen.)
Anibaba (55'), Rowe (75'), Agudelo (83')
Mar 25, 2017 6pm
New England
5-2
Minnesota Utd
Agudelo (4', 41'), Kamara (21'), Nguyen (32' pen.), Tierney (53' pen.)
Warner (15'), Kallman (49')