| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 42.81% ( | 25.81% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( | 50.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( | 72.3% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( | 29.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( | 66.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.37% |