| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 63.19% | 21.22% | 15.58% |
| Both teams to score 48.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% | 14.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.89% | 42.11% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.01% | 42.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% | 79.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.69% 5-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.51% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.19% 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.58% |