Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.