Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.