| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | -2 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 58.82% | 21.41% | 19.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% | 41.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% | 63.45% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% | 13.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.15% | 40.85% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% | 34.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% | 71.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.6% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 3.28% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.25% Total : 58.82% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.77% |