Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.