Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bakaye Dibassy 31' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 36' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 39' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 44' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Callens 29'
  • yellowcard Thiago Andrade 82'

Minnesota United vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 23, 2022 12.00am
Dallas 1 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Emanuel Reynoso

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 22, 2022 10.00pm
NY City 1 - 0 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result

Minnesota United 31.89% (+1.21)
Draw 25.17% (-0.06)
New York City FC 42.94% (-1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.05% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.61% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 47.39% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 30.39% (+0.66)
Under 3.5 69.61% (-0.66)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 71.89% (+1.16)
Under 0.5 28.11% (-1.16)
Over 1.5 36.21% (+1.45)
Under 1.5 63.79% (-1.45)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 77.96% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 22.04% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 44.63% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 55.37% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 31.89%
Draw 25.17%
New York City FC 42.94%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 7.86% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.54% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 4.99% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.19% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.11% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-91.29)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.17%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.35)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.32)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.94%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Apr 13, 2019 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
  • Osvaldo Alonso 8' yellowcard
  • Osvaldo Alonso 13' goal
  • Angelo Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Sean Johnson 32' goal
  • Francisco Calvo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 16'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 18'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 64'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Sep 30, 2018 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
  • Angelo Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Angelo Rodriguez 36' goal
  • Collen Warner 45' yellowcard
  • Francisco Calvo 54' yellowcard
  • Collen Warner 77' redcard
  • Bobby Shuttleworth 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 21'
  • goal Rodney Wallace 91'
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rodney Wallace 0' yellowcard
  • 68 0' yellowcard
  • Alexander Callens 38' goal
  • David Villa 45' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 52' goal
  • David Villa 63' goal
  • goal Christian Ramirez 9'
  • yellowcard Kevin Molino 23'
  • yellowcard Johan Venegas 45'