| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | -2 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 57.38% ( | 23.33% ( | 19.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( | 50% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( | 71.98% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( | 17.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.55% ( | 47.45% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( | 76.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.46% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.29% |