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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
New York City

DC United
0 - 2
NY City


Romo (19')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Callens (6'), Castellanos (45+5' pen.)
Rodriguez (36'), Castellanos (64'), Zelalem (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-2 New York City FC

 The hosts will be on a relative high following their comeback last time out, but we do not see them matching the strong visiting outfit who come into the game in a hot streak of form. Deila's side have plenty of quality in their ranks, and we see them outclassing the Black-and-Red largely thanks to their formidable attacking lineup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
30.47% (2.535 2.54) 23.53% (0.308 0.31) 46% (-2.842 -2.84)
Both teams to score 61.04% (0.668 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.47% (0.118 0.12)40.53% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.09% (0.121 0.12)62.91% (-0.12 -0.12)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (1.74 1.74)25.64% (-1.74 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (2.312 2.31)60.54% (-2.31 -2.31)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-1.048 -1.05)17.9% (1.049 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-1.833 -1.83)48.7% (1.833 1.83)
Score Analysis
    DC United 30.47%
    New York City FC 46%
    Draw 23.52%
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.419 0.42)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.379 0.38)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.342 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.203 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.257 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.153 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.447 -0.45)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46%

How you voted: DC United vs NY City

DC United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
New York City FC
71.4%
35
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
6-0
DC United
Andrade (1'), Castellanos (7', 11'), Moralez (44'), Callens (52'), Medina (75')
Sands (33')

Canouse (3'), Birnbaum (54')
Jun 27, 2021 11pm
NY City
2-1
DC United
Parks (84'), Andrade (90+5')
Robertha (9')
Mora (52'), Robertha (70'), Najar (78')
Apr 18, 2021 1am
DC United
2-1
NY City
Hines-Ike (39'), Canouse (44')
Brillant (9'), Gressel (77')
Castellanos (15')
Castellanos (74'), Tinnerholm (82')
Oct 8, 2020 1am
NY City
4-1
DC United
Castellanos (4' pen.), Tajouri (55' pen., 63'), Parks (88')
Castellanos (81')
Kamara (12' pen.)
Sep 27, 2020 12am
NY City
P-P
DC United
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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