Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Rafael Romo 19' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Callens 6'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 36'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 64'
  • yellowcard Gedion Zelalem 90'+4'

DC United vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 15, 2022 2.15am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Taxiarchis Fountas

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 15, 2022 12.00am
NY City 2 - 0 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result

DC United 30.47% (+2.54)
Draw 23.53% (+0.31)
New York City FC 46% (-2.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.04% (+0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.47% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 40.53% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 37.09% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 62.91% (-0.13)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 74.36% (+1.75)
Under 0.5 25.64% (-1.75)
Over 1.5 39.46% (+2.32)
Under 1.5 60.54% (-2.31)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 82.09% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 17.9% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 51.3% (-1.84)
Under 1.5 48.7% (+1.84)

Score analysis

DC United 30.47%
Draw 23.52%
New York City FC 46%
DC United
2-1 @ 7.31% (+0.42)
1-0 @ 6.25% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 4.25% (+0.38)
3-1 @ 3.32% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 1.93% (+0.26)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-95.28)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 30.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.29% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.52%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.24)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.33)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.53)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.45)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.23)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.26)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Thiago Andrade 1' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 7' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 11' goal
  • James Sands 33' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 44' goal
  • Alexander Callens 52' goal
  • Jesus Medina 75' goal
  • Jesus Medina 75' goal
  • yellowcard Russell Canouse 3'
  • yellowcard Steven Birnbaum 54'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Jun 27, 2021 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Keaton Parks 84' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 90'+5' goal
  • goal Nigel Robertha 9'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mora 52'
  • yellowcard Nigel Robertha 70'
  • yellowcard Andy Najar 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 1
Apr 18, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Audi Field
  • Frederic Brillant 9' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 39' goal
  • Russell Canouse 44' goal
  • Julian Gressel 77' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 15'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 74'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 82'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Oct 8, 2020 1.00am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Valentin Castellanos 4' goal
  • Ismael Tajouri 55' goal
  • Ismael Tajouri 63' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 81' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 88' goal
  • goal Ola Kamara 12'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Sep 27, 2020 12.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Sep 7, 2020 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Audi Field
  • Ulises Segura 16' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 76'