Major League Soccer

Apr 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
3 - 2
New England

Fountas (26', 43'), Estrada (39')
Gressel (33')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Bye (6'), Buksa (86'), Kessler (87')
Jones (65'), Buksa (87'), Kessler (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Columbus Crew	13	1	16
6	New England Revolution	13	-1	16
7	Toronto	14	-6	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	New England Revolution
40.32%	24.61%	35.07%

Both teams to score 58.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96%

44.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58%

66.42%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.07%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92%

59.08%

Score Analysis

DC United 40.32%

New England Revolution 35.07%

Draw 24.61%

DC United	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.32%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.07%