| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 68.91% | 18.17% | 12.92% |
| Both teams to score 52.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.71% | 39.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.37% | 61.63% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.65% | 10.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.17% | 33.83% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.12% | 41.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.67% | 78.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-0 @ 11.15% 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.78% 4-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.19% 5-0 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.46% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 0-0 @ 4.34% 2-2 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.17% | 0-1 @ 3.77% 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.47% Total : 12.92% |