Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.