| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 53.92% | 23.06% | 23.01% |
| Both teams to score 55.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% | 44.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% | 66.73% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% | 16.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% | 46.02% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.92% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.34% Total : 23.01% |