| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 16 | -4 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 66.79% ( | 19% ( | 14.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( | 40.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( | 62.49% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( | 11.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( | 35.55% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% ( | 40.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% ( | 77.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-1 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.79% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 19% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.21% |