Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.