| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 59.29% | 20.65% | 20.07% |
| Both teams to score 59.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.97% | 37.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.78% | 59.22% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% | 12.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.06% | 37.94% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% | 31.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% | 68.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.89% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.62% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.14% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-1 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.52% Total : 20.07% |