Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New England Revolution in this match.