| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 54.32% | 23.96% | 21.71% |
| Both teams to score 51.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% | 49.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% | 71.64% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% | 18.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% | 49.15% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% | 74.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.32% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.71% |