Major League Soccer
May 15, 2022 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jhon Duran 83' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Moreno 8'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 21'
  • goal Rafael Czichos 33' (OG)
  • goal Luciano Acosta 85'

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 7, 2022 11.00pm
Atlanta 4 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jhon Duran

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 8, 2022 1.00am
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brandon Vazquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

Chicago Fire 55.9%
Draw 24.04%
FC Cincinnati 20.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.64%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.13%
Under 2.5 51.87%
Over 3.5 26.37%
Under 3.5 73.62%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 81.58%
Under 0.5 18.42%
Over 1.5 50.42%
Under 1.5 49.57%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 59.62%
Under 0.5 40.37%
Over 1.5 23%
Under 1.5 76.99%

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 55.89%
Draw 24.04%
FC Cincinnati 20.06%
Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 55.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.04%
FC Cincinnati
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.06%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 28' goal
  • Zico Bailey 30' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 36' goal
  • Joe Gyau 48' yellowcard
  • Geoff Cameron 80' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 90'+1' goal
  • goal Robert Beric 14'
  • goal Robert Beric 17'
  • yellowcard Johan Kappelhof 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 68'
  • goal Alvaro Medran 71'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Slonina 79'
  • goal Luka Stojanovic 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 50'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 79'
  • yellowcard Brandon Vazquez 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Mathieu Deplagne 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bornstein 90'+7'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2020 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Fabian Herbers 2' goal
  • Alvaro Medran 10' goal
  • Alvaro Medran 61' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Aliseda 67' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Pettersson 36'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 63'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
May 24, 2020 1.00am