| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 55.9% | 24.04% | 20.06% |
| Both teams to score 48.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% | 51.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% | 73.62% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% | 18.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% | 49.57% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% | 40.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% | 76.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.89% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.06% |