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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
RFK Stadium
Toronto FC

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-0 Toronto

 When you are losing in the fashion that Toronto have been, it can be challenging to snap out of that sort of funk, and at the moment, nothing seems to be going their way, despite probably deserving a little better. The Black and Red always seem to be able to recover from a setback, and we anticipate their dangerous attacking players will punish the Reds, who have yet to solve their defensive issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
51.71% (-2.191 -2.19) 23.89% (0.541 0.54) 24.4% (1.65 1.65)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.673 -0.67)46.59% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.637 -0.64)68.86% (0.63499999999999 0.63)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-1.059 -1.06)18.02% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-1.848 -1.85)48.89% (1.848 1.85)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (1.083 1.08)33.25% (-1.084 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (1.174 1.17)69.86% (-1.176 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    DC United 51.7%
    Toronto 24.4%
    Draw 23.89%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.395 -0.4)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.372 0.37)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.321 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.304 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.4%

How you voted: DC United vs Toronto

DC United
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Toronto
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')
Jul 3, 2021 10.30pm
DC United
7-1
Toronto
Paredes (2'), Robertha (8'), Priso-Mbongue (21' og.), Arriola (71'), Kamara (82'), Rodrigo Asad (85'), Yow (90')
Gressel (57')
Akinola (39')
Gonzalez (35'), Osorio (45+2'), Zavaleta (75')
Zavaleta (78')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Kamara (5'), Yow (88')
Paredes (81')
Pozuelo (17'), Akinola (60')
DeLeon (25'), Piatti (41'), Laryea (67')
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
P-P
DC United
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103
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