| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 31.77% ( | 26.41% ( | 41.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( | 52.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( | 74.31% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( | 67.11% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( | 24.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( | 59.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-2 @ 7.42% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.82% |