| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 4 | Austin FC | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 44.23% | 25.43% | 30.33% |
| Both teams to score 54.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% | 49.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% | 71.24% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% | 22.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% | 55.6% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% | 30.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% | 66.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.33% |