Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.