Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.