Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.